Norway to host 60,000 Ukrainian refugees in 2022 – EURACTIV.com
Norway could welcome 60,000 refugees from Ukraine this year, the country’s Directorate of Immigration (UDI) said when presenting scenarios for the arrival of Ukrainian refugees on Wednesday.
“We have to take into account that the flow of refugees can last for a long time, and the government has therefore asked the police to establish a new registration center in Gardermoen”, said the Minister of Justice and emergencies, Emilie Enger Mehl, in a press release.
The UDI presented a low scenario, a medium scenario and a high scenario in its last report. The UDI now recommends that the authorities plan for 60,000, which is the estimate presented in the intermediate scenario.
“Which of the scenarios will be the most realistic is very difficult to assess. For planning purposes, however, we recommend using the middle scenario with 60,000 as a point estimate,” the UDI states in the report.
Hostilities will continue through the summer under this scenario, with some seven million refugees fleeing Ukraine in 2022. In the medium to long term, countries bordering Ukraine will struggle to cope with the number of refugees.
Many refugees may give up hope of returning home in 2022 and seek refuge in neighboring countries and other European countries. Norway is considered a country with good social protection systems and a reasonable labor market, which means that the country may eventually have to take in a larger number of refugees than expected.
In this scenario, Norway, a country of five million people, would host 60,000 refugees, between 0.7% and 1% of those who fled Ukraine.
In its forecasts, the UDI assumes a settlement need of 35,000 refugees in 2022.